{"F": {"ts_code": "US.VIRC", "name": "Virco制造", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "家具、灯具与家电", "sw2": "家具、灯具与家电", "sw3": "", "ind": "家具、灯具与家电", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NASDAQ", "list_date": null, "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": true, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 6.52, "pe_ttm": -93.142, "pb": 1.003, "dv_ttm": 1.53, "total_mv": 10278.00738, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [40.7], "rev_series": [2.0], "np_series": [0.0], "roe_series": [2.4], "rev_ttm": 2.0, "np_ttm": -0.0, "ocf_ttm": 0.1, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 8.6, "gm_median": 40.7, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 1.3, "roe_median": 2.4, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 57.8, "fix_assets": 1.1, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 0.1, "debt_ratio": 39.2, "debt_mv": null, "payout": null, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": -25.0, "np_yoy": -88.1, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 1, "far_share": 100, "earn_yield": null, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 2.9, "ret_20": 6.5, "ret_60": 8.4, "ret_120": 4.9, "ret_250": -19.0, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 75.0, "eps": 0.16}, "S": {"duration": 100, "pricing": 52, "hard": 92, "bondness": 22}, "label": "钱的替代品", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["硬资产:固定资产 1 亿,占总资产 58%,重置成本随通胀上升。", "定价权:毛利率最新年报 40.7%。", "当期现金流:经营现金流/市值 8.6%,股息率 1.5%,估值里 5 年后的故事约占 100%。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "两个条件都占:硬资产(占比 58%)和定价权(毛利率 40.7% 且稳定)。", "加息期怎么走": "信用体制切换时一阶受益,但它是切换的 β:2025 随黄金跑过一轮的,2026 随黄金退潮。加仓看 dollar-credit 面板信号,不预判。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 8.6%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。覆盖高。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 40.7%。能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 58%。涨。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 为负 粗算,约 100%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -19%,现价在 52 周高点的 75%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 6% / 8% / 5%。 钱的替代品是体制切换的 β:过去一年没动,若信号亮起弹性在这。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「家具、灯具与家电」28 家中位:PE 16.6 / 股息率 0.1% / 毛利率 37.4% / 固定资产占比 20% / 分红率 12%。", "Virco制造:PE 比行业中位低 109.7倍;股息率 比行业中位高 1.4个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位高 3.3个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 37.8个百分点。"]}}