{"F": {"ts_code": "US.T", "name": "AT&T", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "电信服务", "sw2": "电信服务", "sw3": "", "ind": "电信服务", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NYSE", "list_date": "19831125", "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": true, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 25.68, "pe_ttm": 8.503, "pb": 1.593, "dv_ttm": 4.32, "total_mv": 17596926.3492, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [59.6], "rev_series": [1256.5], "np_series": [233.9], "roe_series": [20.4], "rev_ttm": 1256.5, "np_ttm": 214.1, "ocf_ttm": 399.0, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 22.7, "gm_median": 59.6, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 18.6, "roe_median": 20.4, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 45.5, "fix_assets": 1855.1, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 547.0, "debt_ratio": 69.4, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 37.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 2.7, "np_yoy": 90.9, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 41.0, "earn_yield": 11.8, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 7.1, "ret_20": 7.9, "ret_60": 12.1, "ret_120": -5.2, "ret_250": -7.0, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 89.3, "eps": 3.04}, "S": {"duration": 19, "pricing": 62, "hard": 73, "bondness": 52}, "label": "中性", "tags": ["股息率≥4%"], "text": {"像什么": ["PE 8.5 倍、股息率 4.3%、毛利率最新年报 59.6%、固定资产占比 46%、资产负债率 69%:四轴都不突出。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "硬资产占比 46%、毛利率 59.6% 看起来两条都占,但价格受管制(电信服务:电价/通行费/港口费由主管部门或市场化机制定),高毛利来自成本结构不是提价能力。通胀来了它不能提价,利润跟不上通胀,所以不算。", "加息期怎么走": "按行业与估值常规看,没有明确的利率方向性。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 22.7%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。覆盖高。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 59.6%。能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 46%。涨。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 8.5 倍 粗算,约 41%(1 − 5/PE)。中等。"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -7%,现价在 52 周高点的 89%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 8% / 12% / -5%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「电信服务」57 家中位:PE 13.1 / 股息率 0.0% / 毛利率 59.6% / 固定资产占比 31% / 分红率 23%。", "AT&T:PE 比行业中位低 4.6倍;股息率 比行业中位高 4.3个百分点;毛利率 与行业中位持平;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 14.6个百分点。"]}}