{"F": {"ts_code": "US.PROV", "name": "Provident Financial", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "地区银行", "sw2": "地区银行", "sw3": "", "ind": "地区银行", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NASDAQ", "list_date": null, "is_fin": true, "roles": {"fin": true, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 18.7, "pe_ttm": 18.155, "pb": 0.923, "dv_ttm": 2.99, "total_mv": 11657.50146, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [null], "rev_series": [0.4], "np_series": [0.1], "roe_series": [5.2], "rev_ttm": 0.4, "np_ttm": 0.1, "ocf_ttm": 0.1, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 7.7, "gm_median": null, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 16.6, "roe_median": 5.2, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 1.0, "fix_assets": 0.1, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 0.0, "debt_ratio": 89.6, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 54.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 2.7, "np_yoy": 6.4, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 72.0, "earn_yield": 5.5, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 20.5, "ret_20": 5.1, "ret_60": 10.5, "ret_120": 18.0, "ret_250": 24.4, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 98.5, "eps": 1.03}, "S": {"duration": 36, "pricing": null, "hard": null, "bondness": 50}, "label": "金融·利差生意", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["Provident Financial 是地区银行。银行赚的是利差,券商保险赚的是资产端与费率,毛利率与固定资产两个轴对它没有意义。", "ROE 最新年报 5.2%,PB 0.92倍,股息率 3.0%,分红率 54%。", "利率上行对银行是净息差扩张(少数受益方向);对保险是资产端浮亏、对券商是交投与融资成本。"], "加息期怎么走": "按笔记:日债/美债收益率上行期,银行股是例外的受益方向;红利型大行按'现金流红利'拿,盯息差而不盯黄金。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "金融业现金流表不适用;用盈利收益率 5.5%(1/PE)与股息率 3.0% 看。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 18.2 倍 粗算,约 72%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 24%,现价在 52 周高点的 98%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 5% / 10% / 18%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「地区银行」352 家中位:PE 12.6 / 股息率 2.1% / 毛利率 — / 固定资产占比 1% / 分红率 27%。", "Provident Financial:PE 比行业中位高 5.6倍;股息率 比行业中位高 0.9个百分点;毛利率 ;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 0.1个百分点。"]}}