{"F": {"ts_code": "US.PACK", "name": "Ranpak Holdings", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "包装与容器", "sw2": "包装与容器", "sw3": "", "ind": "包装与容器", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NYSE", "list_date": null, "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": true, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 4.54, "pe_ttm": -10.318, "pb": 0.748, "dv_ttm": 0.0, "total_mv": 38934.263206, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [33.1], "rev_series": [4.0], "np_series": [-0.4], "roe_series": [-7.1], "rev_ttm": 4.0, "np_ttm": -0.4, "ocf_ttm": 0.4, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 9.0, "gm_median": 33.1, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": -9.7, "roe_median": -7.1, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 16.0, "fix_assets": 1.8, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 0.5, "debt_ratio": 52.4, "debt_mv": null, "payout": null, "div_years": 0, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 7.1, "np_yoy": -78.1, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 1, "far_share": 100, "earn_yield": null, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": -16.1, "ret_20": -17.6, "ret_60": -32.4, "ret_120": 31.6, "ret_250": -7.9, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 58.1, "eps": -0.45}, "S": {"duration": 100, "pricing": 49, "hard": 26, "bondness": 13}, "label": "亏损或困境", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["TTM 归母净利 -0.4 亿;PE 为负,估值指标失真。", "资产负债率 52%,有息负债 —,经营现金流/市值 9.0%:先看现金流能否覆盖利息,再谈久期。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占定价权一条(毛利率 33.1%),硬资产占比 16%。分子能跟上通胀,但没有重置成本对冲;按'定价权·品牌'看,不按硬资产看。", "加息期怎么走": "利率上行对高杠杆亏损企业是再融资压力,不是估值问题;周期底部的反转看行业价格,不看贴现率。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 9.0%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。覆盖高。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 33.1%。能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 16%。有一些。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 为负 粗算,约 100%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -8%,现价在 52 周高点的 58%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 -18% / -32% / 32%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「包装与容器」23 家中位:PE 17.2 / 股息率 2.2% / 毛利率 20.9% / 固定资产占比 28% / 分红率 49%。", "Ranpak Holdings:PE 比行业中位低 27.5倍;股息率 比行业中位低 2.2个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位高 12.2个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位低 11.5个百分点。"]}}