{"F": {"ts_code": "US.OTIS", "name": "奥的斯", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "专用工业机械", "sw2": "专用工业机械", "sw3": "", "ind": "专用工业机械", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NYSE", "list_date": null, "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": true, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 71.21, "pe_ttm": 18.305, "pb": -4.715, "dv_ttm": 2.39, "total_mv": 2710746.363019, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [30.3], "rev_series": [144.3], "np_series": [14.6], "roe_series": [0.0], "rev_ttm": 144.3, "np_ttm": 15.2, "ocf_ttm": 18.7, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 6.9, "gm_median": 30.3, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 10.1, "roe_median": 0.0, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 11.1, "fix_assets": 12.2, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 23.9, "debt_ratio": 149.5, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 44.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 1.2, "np_yoy": -16.1, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 73.0, "earn_yield": 5.5, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": -17.1, "ret_20": -3.2, "ret_60": 2.8, "ret_120": -13.8, "ret_250": -16.7, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 76.2, "eps": 3.5}, "S": {"duration": 37, "pricing": 47, "hard": 18, "bondness": 43}, "label": "中性", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["PE 18.3 倍、股息率 2.4%、毛利率最新年报 30.3%、固定资产占比 11%、资产负债率 150%:四轴都不突出。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占定价权一条(毛利率 30.3%),硬资产占比 11%。分子能跟上通胀,但没有重置成本对冲;按'定价权·品牌'看,不按硬资产看。", "加息期怎么走": "按行业与估值常规看,没有明确的利率方向性。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 6.9%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。一般。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 30.3%。能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 11%。没有资产可言。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 18.3 倍 粗算,约 73%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -17%,现价在 52 周高点的 76%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 -3% / 3% / -14%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「专用工业机械」77 家中位:PE 31.6 / 股息率 0.0% / 毛利率 35.5% / 固定资产占比 13% / 分红率 20%。", "奥的斯:PE 比行业中位低 13.3倍;股息率 比行业中位高 2.4个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位低 5.2个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位低 1.5个百分点。"]}}