{"F": {"ts_code": "US.NWN", "name": "西北天然气", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "受监管天然气", "sw2": "受监管天然气", "sw3": "", "ind": "受监管天然气", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NYSE", "list_date": null, "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": true, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 49.19, "pe_ttm": 16.451, "pb": 1.327, "dv_ttm": 4.0, "total_mv": 207058.113422, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [40.2], "rev_series": [12.9], "np_series": [1.1], "roe_series": [7.9], "rev_ttm": 12.9, "np_ttm": 1.3, "ocf_ttm": 2.1, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 10.3, "gm_median": 40.2, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 8.8, "roe_median": 7.9, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 48.0, "fix_assets": 27.4, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 4.7, "debt_ratio": 76.1, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 66.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 11.8, "np_yoy": 43.7, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 70.0, "earn_yield": 6.1, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 8.4, "ret_20": -2.5, "ret_60": -0.6, "ret_120": -4.8, "ret_250": 24.4, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 89.6, "eps": 2.77}, "S": {"duration": 34, "pricing": 52, "hard": 77, "bondness": 60}, "label": "成长兑现", "tags": ["现金流红利", "股息率≥4%"], "text": {"像什么": ["盈利在追估值:最新净利润同比 44%,PE TTM 16.5 倍,历史 PEG(PE ÷ 最新增速)0.38。", "经营现金流 2.1 亿(正),没有一致预期数据,风险在增速能否延续。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "硬资产占比 48%、毛利率 40.2% 看起来两条都占,但价格受管制(受监管天然气:电价/通行费/港口费由主管部门或市场化机制定),高毛利来自成本结构不是提价能力。通胀来了它不能提价,利润跟不上通胀,所以不算。", "加息期怎么走": "估值不靠远期故事,加息期比纯久期抗跌;风险在订单与增速,盯业绩不盯利率。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 10.3%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。覆盖高。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 40.2%。能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 48%。涨。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 16.5 倍 粗算,约 70%(1 − 5/PE)。中等。"]], "价格行为": "近一年 24%,现价在 52 周高点的 90%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 -2% / -1% / -5%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「受监管天然气」15 家中位:PE 16.8 / 股息率 3.6% / 毛利率 41.4% / 固定资产占比 48% / 分红率 56%。", "西北天然气:PE 比行业中位低 0.3倍;股息率 比行业中位高 0.4个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位低 1.2个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 0.3个百分点。"]}}