{"F": {"ts_code": "US.JBSS", "name": "John B. Sanfilippo & Son", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "包装食品", "sw2": "包装食品", "sw3": "", "ind": "包装食品", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NASDAQ", "list_date": null, "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": true, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 72.43, "pe_ttm": 13.769, "pb": 2.229, "dv_ttm": 1.24, "total_mv": 84695.882883, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [18.0], "rev_series": [11.8], "np_series": [0.6], "roe_series": [16.7], "rev_ttm": 11.8, "np_ttm": 0.6, "ocf_ttm": 1.2, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 14.6, "gm_median": 18.0, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 5.3, "roe_median": 16.7, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 43.8, "fix_assets": 2.8, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 1.2, "debt_ratio": 42.3, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 17.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 6.2, "np_yoy": 5.1, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 64.0, "earn_yield": 7.3, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 7.0, "ret_20": -10.8, "ret_60": -4.9, "ret_120": -1.1, "ret_250": 20.0, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 80.5, "eps": 5.26}, "S": {"duration": 29, "pricing": 41, "hard": 70, "bondness": 26}, "label": "重资产陷阱", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["资产很重:固定资产占总资产 44%,但毛利率最新年报只有 18.0%,产品同质、售价涨不动。", "资产负债率 42%,折旧与利息两头吃。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占硬资产一条(占比 44%),没有定价权:毛利率最新年报 18.0%。通胀来了成本转嫁不出去,利润跟不上通胀。这是陷阱不是保护。", "加息期怎么走": "滞胀里两头挤,成本全涨售价涨不动还吃折旧,跌得比成长股狠。除非商品价格反转,否则回避。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 14.6%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。覆盖高。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 18.0%。不能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 44%。涨。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 13.8 倍 粗算,约 64%(1 − 5/PE)。中等。"]], "价格行为": "近一年 20%,现价在 52 周高点的 80%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 -11% / -5% / -1%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「包装食品」64 家中位:PE 15.1 / 股息率 0.0% / 毛利率 28.4% / 固定资产占比 21% / 分红率 0%。", "John B. Sanfilippo & Son:PE 比行业中位低 1.3倍;股息率 比行业中位高 1.2个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位低 10.4个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 23.0个百分点。"]}}