{"F": {"ts_code": "US.HTZ", "name": "赫兹租车", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "租赁服务", "sw2": "租赁服务", "sw3": "", "ind": "租赁服务", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NASDAQ", "list_date": "20211109", "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 2.3, "pe_ttm": -2.527, "pb": -1.305, "dv_ttm": 0.0, "total_mv": 81983.82039, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [11.4], "rev_series": [85.0], "np_series": [-7.5], "roe_series": [0.0], "rev_ttm": 85.0, "np_ttm": -2.8, "ocf_ttm": 14.3, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 174.3, "gm_median": 11.4, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": -8.8, "roe_median": 0.0, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 38.3, "fix_assets": 84.4, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 25.1, "debt_ratio": 102.1, "debt_mv": null, "payout": null, "div_years": 0, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": -6.0, "np_yoy": 73.9, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 1, "far_share": 100, "earn_yield": null, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": -55.3, "ret_20": 1.3, "ret_60": -53.8, "ret_120": -42.1, "ret_250": -61.5, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 28.1, "eps": -2.43}, "S": {"duration": 100, "pricing": 38, "hard": 61, "bondness": 13}, "label": "重资产陷阱", "tags": ["亏损或困境"], "text": {"像什么": ["资产很重:固定资产占总资产 38%,但毛利率最新年报只有 11.4%,产品同质、售价涨不动。", "资产负债率 102%,折旧与利息两头吃。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占硬资产一条(占比 38%),没有定价权:毛利率最新年报 11.4%。通胀来了成本转嫁不出去,利润跟不上通胀。这是陷阱不是保护。", "加息期怎么走": "滞胀里两头挤,成本全涨售价涨不动还吃折旧,跌得比成长股狠。除非商品价格反转,否则回避。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 174.3%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。覆盖高。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 11.4%。不能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 38%。涨。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 为负 粗算,约 100%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -62%,现价在 52 周高点的 28%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 1% / -54% / -42%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「租赁服务」20 家中位:PE 20.7 / 股息率 0.2% / 毛利率 38.5% / 固定资产占比 46% / 分红率 14%。", "赫兹租车:PE 比行业中位低 23.2倍;股息率 比行业中位低 0.2个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位低 27.1个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位低 7.9个百分点。"]}}