{"F": {"ts_code": "US.HAL", "name": "哈里伯顿", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "油气设备与服务", "sw2": "油气设备与服务", "sw3": "", "ind": "油气设备与服务", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NYSE", "list_date": null, "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": true, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 37.07, "pe_ttm": 19.408, "pb": 2.805, "dv_ttm": 1.83, "total_mv": 3088414.2704689996, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [15.7], "rev_series": [221.8], "np_series": [12.9], "roe_series": [12.2], "rev_ttm": 221.8, "np_ttm": 16.0, "ocf_ttm": 27.5, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 8.9, "gm_median": 15.7, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 5.8, "roe_median": 12.2, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 37.0, "fix_assets": 93.5, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 32.6, "debt_ratio": 58.0, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 36.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": -3.3, "np_yoy": -48.6, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 74.0, "earn_yield": 5.2, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 33.0, "ret_20": 16.8, "ret_60": -6.3, "ret_120": 9.5, "ret_250": 73.7, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 85.8, "eps": 1.5}, "S": {"duration": 38, "pricing": 40, "hard": 59, "bondness": 37}, "label": "重资产陷阱", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["资产很重:固定资产占总资产 37%,但毛利率最新年报只有 15.7%,产品同质、售价涨不动。", "资产负债率 58%,折旧与利息两头吃。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占硬资产一条(占比 37%),没有定价权:毛利率最新年报 15.7%。通胀来了成本转嫁不出去,利润跟不上通胀。这是陷阱不是保护。", "加息期怎么走": "滞胀里两头挤,成本全涨售价涨不动还吃折旧,跌得比成长股狠。除非商品价格反转,否则回避。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 8.9%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。覆盖高。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 15.7%。不能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 37%。涨。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 19.4 倍 粗算,约 74%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 74%,现价在 52 周高点的 86%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 17% / -6% / 10%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「油气设备与服务」48 家中位:PE 25.5 / 股息率 0.1% / 毛利率 23.0% / 固定资产占比 38% / 分红率 22%。", "哈里伯顿:PE 比行业中位低 6.1倍;股息率 比行业中位高 1.7个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位低 7.3个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位低 1.0个百分点。"]}}