{"F": {"ts_code": "US.ET", "name": "Energy Transfer", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "油气中游", "sw2": "油气中游", "sw3": "", "ind": "油气中游", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NYSE", "list_date": null, "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": true, "precious": false, "regulated": true, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 21.5, "pe_ttm": 14.726, "pb": 2.095, "dv_ttm": 6.21, "total_mv": 7403094.14215, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [19.1], "rev_series": [855.4], "np_series": [57.1], "roe_series": [12.0], "rev_ttm": 855.4, "np_ttm": 50.5, "ocf_ttm": 121.2, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 16.4, "gm_median": 19.1, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 6.7, "roe_median": 12.0, "commodity": true, "hard_ratio": 51.2, "fix_assets": 682.9, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 152.1, "debt_ratio": 65.1, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 91.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 3.5, "np_yoy": -13.1, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 66.0, "earn_yield": 6.8, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 37.4, "ret_20": 6.8, "ret_60": 14.8, "ret_120": 18.7, "ret_250": 34.7, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 98.8, "eps": 1.21}, "S": {"duration": 31, "pricing": 70, "hard": 82, "bondness": 75}, "label": "现金流红利", "tags": ["商品定价", "股息率≥4%"], "text": {"像什么": ["分红率 91%、股息率 6.2%、最新一年营收增速 3.5%、资产负债率 65%:红利底仓,但不靠杠杆。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "硬资产占比 51%、毛利率 19.1% 看起来两条都占,但价格受管制(油气中游:电价/通行费/港口费由主管部门或市场化机制定),高毛利来自成本结构不是提价能力。通胀来了它不能提价,利润跟不上通胀,所以不算。", "加息期怎么走": "船票:加息期底仓。放水信号出现后按 7:3 → 5:5 → 3:7 逐步让位给科技。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 16.4%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。覆盖高。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 19.1%。不能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 51%。涨。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 14.7 倍 粗算,约 66%(1 − 5/PE)。中等。"]], "价格行为": "近一年 35%,现价在 52 周高点的 99%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 7% / 15% / 19%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「油气中游」57 家中位:PE 14.0 / 股息率 3.7% / 毛利率 33.4% / 固定资产占比 48% / 分红率 58%。", "Energy Transfer:PE 比行业中位高 0.7倍;股息率 比行业中位高 2.5个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位低 14.3个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 3.7个百分点。"]}}