{"F": {"ts_code": "US.CSGP", "name": "科斯塔", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "房地产服务", "sw2": "房地产服务", "sw3": "", "ind": "房地产服务", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NASDAQ", "list_date": null, "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 30.91, "pe_ttm": 171.722, "pb": 1.578, "dv_ttm": 0.0, "total_mv": 1252465.744508, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [78.9], "rev_series": [32.5], "np_series": [0.1], "roe_series": [0.1], "rev_ttm": 32.5, "np_ttm": 0.7, "ocf_ttm": 5.0, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 4.0, "gm_median": 78.9, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 0.2, "roe_median": 0.1, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 7.2, "fix_assets": 7.1, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 1.9, "debt_ratio": 20.6, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 0.0, "div_years": 0, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 18.7, "np_yoy": -95.0, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 97.0, "earn_yield": 0.6, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": -54.0, "ret_20": 2.2, "ret_60": -9.7, "ret_120": -29.1, "ret_250": -64.9, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 34.0, "eps": 0.02}, "S": {"duration": 99, "pricing": 71, "hard": 12, "bondness": 13}, "label": "纯久期", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["PE TTM 171.7 倍,估值里约 97% 来自 5 年后的假设;固定资产占比 7%,几乎没有重置成本可言。", "贴现率每升 1 个百分点,杀伤按 PE 线性放大;这是纯数学,与基本面好坏无关。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占定价权一条(毛利率 78.9%),硬资产占比 7%。分子能跟上通胀,但没有重置成本对冲;按'定价权·品牌'看,不按硬资产看。", "加息期怎么走": "加息期第一个被砸的就是它;拥挤龙头先被砸,那正是建仓窗口,但要等放水信号,别用最贵的票坐车。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 4.0%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。一般。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 78.9%。能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 7%。没有资产可言。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 171.7 倍 粗算,约 97%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -65%,现价在 52 周高点的 34%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 2% / -10% / -29%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「房地产服务」46 家中位:PE 20.7 / 股息率 0.0% / 毛利率 30.3% / 固定资产占比 7% / 分红率 0%。", "科斯塔:PE 比行业中位高 151.0倍;股息率 与行业中位持平;毛利率 比行业中位高 48.6个百分点;固定资产占比 与行业中位持平。"]}}