{"F": {"ts_code": "US.CRD.B", "name": "克劳福德-B", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "保险经纪", "sw2": "保险经纪", "sw3": "", "ind": "保险经纪", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NYSE", "list_date": null, "is_fin": true, "roles": {"fin": true, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 12.09, "pe_ttm": 25.187, "pb": 3.086, "dv_ttm": 2.48, "total_mv": 57538.41003300001, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [28.0], "rev_series": [13.1], "np_series": [0.2], "roe_series": [11.9], "rev_ttm": 13.1, "np_ttm": 0.2, "ocf_ttm": 1.0, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 18.1, "gm_median": 28.0, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 1.5, "roe_median": 11.9, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 10.5, "fix_assets": 0.8, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 0.9, "debt_ratio": 77.6, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 62.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": -2.2, "np_yoy": -25.8, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 80.0, "earn_yield": 4.0, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 15.2, "ret_20": -2.1, "ret_60": 14.3, "ret_120": 26.8, "ret_250": 21.2, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 89.0, "eps": 0.4}, "S": {"duration": 47, "pricing": null, "hard": null, "bondness": 50}, "label": "金融·利差生意", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["克劳福德-B 是保险经纪。银行赚的是利差,券商保险赚的是资产端与费率,毛利率与固定资产两个轴对它没有意义。", "ROE 最新年报 11.9%,PB 3.09倍,股息率 2.5%,分红率 62%。", "利率上行对银行是净息差扩张(少数受益方向);对保险是资产端浮亏、对券商是交投与融资成本。"], "加息期怎么走": "按笔记:日债/美债收益率上行期,银行股是例外的受益方向;红利型大行按'现金流红利'拿,盯息差而不盯黄金。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "金融业现金流表不适用;用盈利收益率 4.0%(1/PE)与股息率 2.5% 看。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 25.2 倍 粗算,约 80%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 21%,现价在 52 周高点的 89%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 -2% / 14% / 27%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「保险经纪」24 家中位:PE 25.2 / 股息率 0.0% / 毛利率 41.0% / 固定资产占比 3% / 分红率 21%。", "克劳福德-B:PE 与行业中位持平;股息率 比行业中位高 2.5个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位低 13.0个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 7.3个百分点。"]}}