{"F": {"ts_code": "US.CP", "name": "加拿大太平洋铁路", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "铁路运输", "sw2": "铁路运输", "sw3": "", "ind": "铁路运输", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NYSE", "list_date": null, "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": true, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 91.6, "pe_ttm": 29.387, "pb": 2.382, "dv_ttm": 0.73, "total_mv": 8052365.6918399995, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [37.2], "rev_series": [110.1], "np_series": [30.2], "roe_series": [8.8], "rev_ttm": 110.1, "np_ttm": 27.7, "ocf_ttm": 39.3, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 4.9, "gm_median": 37.2, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 27.4, "roe_median": 8.8, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 38.1, "fix_assets": 235.7, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 61.2, "debt_ratio": 45.5, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 21.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 8.6, "np_yoy": 16.8, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 83.0, "earn_yield": 3.4, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 25.5, "ret_20": -0.0, "ret_60": 2.7, "ret_120": 12.7, "ret_250": 22.4, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 94.5, "eps": 3.269}, "S": {"duration": 52, "pricing": 51, "hard": 61, "bondness": 25}, "label": "中性", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["PE 29.4 倍、股息率 0.7%、毛利率最新年报 37.2%、固定资产占比 38%、资产负债率 46%:四轴都不突出。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "硬资产占比 38%、毛利率 37.2% 看起来两条都占,但价格受管制(铁路运输:电价/通行费/港口费由主管部门或市场化机制定),高毛利来自成本结构不是提价能力。通胀来了它不能提价,利润跟不上通胀,所以不算。", "加息期怎么走": "按行业与估值常规看,没有明确的利率方向性。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 4.9%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。一般。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 37.2%。能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 38%。涨。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 29.4 倍 粗算,约 83%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 22%,现价在 52 周高点的 94%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 -0% / 3% / 13%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「铁路运输」12 家中位:PE 28.3 / 股息率 0.9% / 毛利率 33.7% / 固定资产占比 36% / 分红率 30%。", "加拿大太平洋铁路:PE 比行业中位高 1.1倍;股息率 比行业中位低 0.2个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位高 3.5个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 2.0个百分点。"]}}