{"F": {"ts_code": "US.AXP", "name": "美国运通", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "信贷", "sw2": "信贷", "sw3": "", "ind": "信贷", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NYSE", "list_date": "19770518", "is_fin": true, "roles": {"fin": true, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 326.16, "pe_ttm": 19.791, "pb": 6.425, "dv_ttm": 1.09, "total_mv": 22025905.513128, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [null], "rev_series": [722.3], "np_series": [108.3], "roe_series": [33.6], "rev_ttm": 722.3, "np_ttm": 113.1, "ocf_ttm": 184.8, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 8.4, "gm_median": null, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 15.0, "roe_median": 33.6, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 3.2, "fix_assets": 90.2, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 0.0, "debt_ratio": 88.8, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 22.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 9.5, "np_yoy": 7.0, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 75.0, "earn_yield": 5.1, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": -11.1, "ret_20": -4.3, "ret_60": 4.4, "ret_120": 10.0, "ret_250": 1.3, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 84.9, "eps": 15.38}, "S": {"duration": 39, "pricing": null, "hard": null, "bondness": 27}, "label": "金融·利差生意", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["美国运通 是信贷。银行赚的是利差,券商保险赚的是资产端与费率,毛利率与固定资产两个轴对它没有意义。", "ROE 最新年报 33.6%,PB 6.42倍,股息率 1.1%,分红率 22%。", "利率上行对银行是净息差扩张(少数受益方向);对保险是资产端浮亏、对券商是交投与融资成本。"], "加息期怎么走": "按笔记:日债/美债收益率上行期,银行股是例外的受益方向;红利型大行按'现金流红利'拿,盯息差而不盯黄金。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "金融业现金流表不适用;用盈利收益率 5.1%(1/PE)与股息率 1.1% 看。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 19.8 倍 粗算,约 75%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 1%,现价在 52 周高点的 85%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 -4% / 4% / 10%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「信贷」54 家中位:PE 10.3 / 股息率 0.0% / 毛利率 61.1% / 固定资产占比 2% / 分红率 14%。", "美国运通:PE 比行业中位高 9.5倍;股息率 比行业中位高 1.1个百分点;毛利率 ;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 0.8个百分点。"]}}