{"F": {"ts_code": "US.AGO", "name": "Assured Guaranty", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "专门保险", "sw2": "专门保险", "sw3": "", "ind": "专门保险", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NYSE", "list_date": null, "is_fin": true, "roles": {"fin": true, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 75.69, "pe_ttm": 10.065, "pb": 0.598, "dv_ttm": 1.9, "total_mv": 332878.625352, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [null], "rev_series": [11.1], "np_series": [5.4], "roe_series": [8.9], "rev_ttm": 11.1, "np_ttm": 3.5, "ocf_ttm": 3.2, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 9.7, "gm_median": null, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 48.9, "roe_median": 8.9, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": null, "fix_assets": null, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 0.0, "debt_ratio": 52.5, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 19.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 27.3, "np_yoy": 38.5, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 50.0, "earn_yield": 9.9, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": -14.6, "ret_20": 0.9, "ret_60": 0.1, "ret_120": -8.4, "ret_250": -5.9, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 83.1, "eps": 10.26}, "S": {"duration": 22, "pricing": null, "hard": null, "bondness": 31}, "label": "金融·利差生意", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["Assured Guaranty 是专门保险。银行赚的是利差,券商保险赚的是资产端与费率,毛利率与固定资产两个轴对它没有意义。", "ROE 最新年报 8.9%,PB 0.60倍,股息率 1.9%,分红率 19%。", "利率上行对银行是净息差扩张(少数受益方向);对保险是资产端浮亏、对券商是交投与融资成本。"], "加息期怎么走": "按笔记:日债/美债收益率上行期,银行股是例外的受益方向;红利型大行按'现金流红利'拿,盯息差而不盯黄金。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "金融业现金流表不适用;用盈利收益率 9.9%(1/PE)与股息率 1.9% 看。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 10.1 倍 粗算,约 50%(1 − 5/PE)。中等。"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -6%,现价在 52 周高点的 83%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 1% / 0% / -8%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「专门保险」15 家中位:PE 10.1 / 股息率 1.9% / 毛利率 — / 固定资产占比 — / 分红率 19%。", "Assured Guaranty:PE 与行业中位持平;股息率 与行业中位持平;毛利率 ;固定资产占比 。"]}}