{"F": {"ts_code": "US.ADP", "name": "自动数据处理", "mkt": "US", "ccy": "美元", "sw1": "应用软件", "sw2": "应用软件", "sw3": "", "ind": "应用软件", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "NASDAQ", "list_date": "20081021", "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": false, "growth": true}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 277.62, "pe_ttm": 25.376, "pb": 18.286, "dv_ttm": 2.39, "total_mv": 11028808.104594, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [46.4], "rev_series": [219.5], "np_series": [44.1], "roe_series": [72.2], "rev_ttm": 219.5, "np_ttm": 44.1, "ocf_ttm": 54.4, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 4.9, "gm_median": 46.4, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 20.1, "roe_median": 72.2, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 2.6, "fix_assets": 15.1, "hard_note": "PP&E 毛额 × 0.5 近似净额", "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 67.8, "debt_ratio": 90.5, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 61.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 6.7, "np_yoy": 8.2, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 80.0, "earn_yield": 3.9, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 9.6, "ret_20": 2.3, "ret_60": 21.0, "ret_120": 33.8, "ret_250": -4.4, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 95.4, "eps": 10.94}, "S": {"duration": 47, "pricing": 55, "hard": 4, "bondness": 49}, "label": "中性", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["PE 25.4 倍、股息率 2.4%、毛利率最新年报 46.4%、固定资产占比 3%、资产负债率 90%:四轴都不突出。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占定价权一条(毛利率 46.4%),硬资产占比 3%。分子能跟上通胀,但没有重置成本对冲;按'定价权·品牌'看,不按硬资产看。", "加息期怎么走": "按行业与估值常规看,没有明确的利率方向性。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 4.9%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。一般。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 46.4%。能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 3%。没有资产可言。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 25.4 倍 粗算,约 80%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -4%,现价在 52 周高点的 95%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 2% / 21% / 34%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「应用软件」229 家中位:PE 27.1 / 股息率 0.0% / 毛利率 67.2% / 固定资产占比 4% / 分红率 0%。", "自动数据处理:PE 比行业中位低 1.7倍;股息率 比行业中位高 2.4个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位低 20.8个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位低 1.0个百分点。"]}}