{"F": {"ts_code": "HK.06993", "name": "蓝月亮集团", "mkt": "HK", "ccy": "港元", "sw1": "家居消耗品", "sw2": "家居消耗品", "sw3": "", "ind": "家居消耗品", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "主板", "list_date": "20201216", "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 3.78, "pe_ttm": -252.0, "pb": 3.253, "dv_ttm": 4.81, "total_mv": 2191996.770768, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [59.7], "rev_series": [84.1], "np_series": [-3.3], "roe_series": [-4.1], "rev_ttm": 84.1, "np_ttm": -0.9, "ocf_ttm": -0.6, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": -0.3, "gm_median": 59.7, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": -3.9, "roe_median": -4.1, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 14.4, "fix_assets": 14.2, "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": -2.3, "debt_ratio": 19.6, "debt_mv": null, "payout": null, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": -1.7, "np_yoy": 56.1, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 1, "far_share": 100, "earn_yield": null, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 45.9, "ret_20": 15.8, "ret_60": 20.8, "ret_120": 45.9, "ret_250": 20.8, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 91.1, "eps": -0.057}, "S": {"duration": 100, "pricing": 62, "hard": 23, "bondness": 42}, "label": "亏损或困境", "tags": ["股息率≥4%"], "text": {"像什么": ["TTM 归母净利 -0.9 亿;PE 为负,估值指标失真。", "资产负债率 20%,有息负债 —,经营现金流/市值 -0.3%:先看现金流能否覆盖利息,再谈久期。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占定价权一条(毛利率 59.7%),硬资产占比 14%。分子能跟上通胀,但没有重置成本对冲;按'定价权·品牌'看,不按硬资产看。", "加息期怎么走": "利率上行对高杠杆亏损企业是再融资压力,不是估值问题;周期底部的反转看行业价格,不看贴现率。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 -0.3%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。极低或为负。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 59.7%。能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 14%。没有资产可言。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 为负 粗算,约 100%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 21%,现价在 52 周高点的 91%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 16% / 21% / 46%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「家居消耗品」5 家中位:PE 7.9 / 股息率 0.0% / 毛利率 22.7% / 固定资产占比 14% / 分红率 33%。", "蓝月亮集团:PE 比行业中位低 259.9倍;股息率 比行业中位高 4.8个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位高 37.0个百分点;固定资产占比 与行业中位持平。"]}}