{"F": {"ts_code": "HK.02169", "name": "沧港铁路", "mkt": "HK", "ccy": "港元", "sw1": "铁路及公路", "sw2": "铁路及公路", "sw3": "", "ind": "铁路及公路", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "主板", "list_date": "20201023", "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": true, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 0.54, "pe_ttm": 30.0, "pb": 2.204, "dv_ttm": 0.0, "total_mv": 216000.0, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [null], "rev_series": [3.1], "np_series": [0.6], "roe_series": [7.4], "rev_ttm": 3.1, "np_ttm": 0.7, "ocf_ttm": 1.5, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 6.8, "gm_median": null, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 20.7, "roe_median": 7.4, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 58.3, "fix_assets": 9.1, "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 1.6, "debt_ratio": 42.7, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 0.0, "div_years": 0, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 12.3, "np_yoy": 9.2, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 83.0, "earn_yield": 3.3, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": -34.1, "ret_20": 17.4, "ret_60": -1.8, "ret_120": 0.0, "ret_250": -58.5, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 35.1, "eps": 0.016}, "S": {"duration": 53, "pricing": 32, "hard": 93, "bondness": 13}, "label": "中性", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["PE 30.0 倍、股息率 0.0%、毛利率最新年报 —、固定资产占比 58%、资产负债率 43%:四轴都不突出。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "硬资产占比 58%,但价格受管制(铁路及公路:电价/通行费/港口费由主管部门或市场化机制定),毛利率也不披露。通胀来了它不能提价,利润跟不上通胀,所以不算。", "加息期怎么走": "按行业与估值常规看,没有明确的利率方向性。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 6.8%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。一般。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率未披露(公用事业 / 地产 / 综合企业常见)。价格受管制,不能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 58%。涨。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 30.0 倍 粗算,约 83%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -58%,现价在 52 周高点的 35%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 17% / -2% / 0%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「铁路及公路」12 家中位:PE 8.7 / 股息率 7.0% / 毛利率 34.3% / 固定资产占比 6% / 分红率 57%。", "沧港铁路:PE 比行业中位高 21.3倍;股息率 比行业中位低 7.0个百分点;毛利率 ;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 52.7个百分点。"]}}