{"F": {"ts_code": "HK.01972", "name": "太古地产", "mkt": "HK", "ccy": "港元", "sw1": "地产投资", "sw2": "地产投资", "sw3": "", "ind": "地产投资", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "主板", "list_date": "20120118", "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": false, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 24.76, "pe_ttm": 43.211, "pb": 0.525, "dv_ttm": 4.73, "total_mv": 14255532.3648, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [66.4], "rev_series": [160.4], "np_series": [-15.5], "roe_series": [-0.6], "rev_ttm": 160.4, "np_ttm": 33.0, "ocf_ttm": 78.2, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 5.5, "gm_median": 66.4, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": -9.7, "roe_median": -0.6, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 1.0, "fix_assets": 34.1, "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 9.6, "debt_ratio": 23.2, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 204.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": 11.2, "np_yoy": -158.1, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 88.0, "earn_yield": 2.3, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": 25.0, "ret_20": 7.6, "ret_60": 17.3, "ret_120": 5.0, "ret_250": 27.5, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 95.2, "eps": -0.266}, "S": {"duration": 66, "pricing": 65, "hard": 2, "bondness": 76}, "label": "现金流红利", "tags": ["股息率≥4%"], "text": {"像什么": ["分红率 204%、股息率 4.7%、最新一年营收增速 11.2%、资产负债率 23%:红利底仓,但不靠杠杆。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占定价权一条(毛利率 66.4%),硬资产占比 1%。分子能跟上通胀,但没有重置成本对冲;按'定价权·品牌'看,不按硬资产看。", "加息期怎么走": "船票:加息期底仓。放水信号出现后按 7:3 → 5:5 → 3:7 逐步让位给科技。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 5.5%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。一般。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 66.4%。能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 1%。没有资产可言。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 43.2 倍 粗算,约 88%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 28%,现价在 52 周高点的 95%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 8% / 17% / 5%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「地产投资」55 家中位:PE 12.4 / 股息率 1.5% / 毛利率 67.5% / 固定资产占比 1% / 分红率 54%。", "太古地产:PE 比行业中位高 30.8倍;股息率 比行业中位高 3.2个百分点;毛利率 比行业中位低 1.1个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位低 0.1个百分点。"]}}