{"F": {"ts_code": "HK.01593", "name": "辰林教育", "mkt": "HK", "ccy": "港元", "sw1": "教育", "sw2": "教育", "sw3": "", "ind": "教育", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "主板", "list_date": "20191213", "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": false, "growth": true}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 1.1, "pe_ttm": -2.195, "pb": 2.325, "dv_ttm": 0.0, "total_mv": 109205.8, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [27.7], "rev_series": [6.6], "np_series": [-4.5], "roe_series": [-63.4], "rev_ttm": 6.6, "np_ttm": -4.8, "ocf_ttm": 2.3, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 20.6, "gm_median": 27.7, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": -68.6, "roe_median": -63.4, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 75.9, "fix_assets": 35.4, "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": -0.1, "debt_ratio": 89.2, "debt_mv": null, "payout": null, "div_years": 0, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": -0.5, "np_yoy": -2762.6, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 1, "far_share": 100, "earn_yield": null, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": -12.0, "ret_20": 5.8, "ret_60": -10.6, "ret_120": -12.0, "ret_250": -20.3, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 36.7, "eps": -0.455}, "S": {"duration": 100, "pricing": 46, "hard": 100, "bondness": 13}, "label": "亏损或困境", "tags": [], "text": {"像什么": ["TTM 归母净利 -4.8 亿;PE 为负,估值指标失真。", "资产负债率 89%,有息负债 —,经营现金流/市值 20.6%:先看现金流能否覆盖利息,再谈久期。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占硬资产一条(占比 76%),没有定价权:毛利率最新年报 27.7%。通胀来了成本转嫁不出去,利润跟不上通胀。这是陷阱不是保护。", "加息期怎么走": "利率上行对高杠杆亏损企业是再融资压力,不是估值问题;周期底部的反转看行业价格,不看贴现率。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 20.6%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。覆盖高。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 27.7%。取决于竞争。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 76%。涨。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 为负 粗算,约 100%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -20%,现价在 52 周高点的 37%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 6% / -11% / -12%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「教育」39 家中位:PE 3.2 / 股息率 0.0% / 毛利率 45.3% / 固定资产占比 37% / 分红率 0%。", "辰林教育:PE 比行业中位低 5.4倍;股息率 与行业中位持平;毛利率 比行业中位低 17.6个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 38.9个百分点。"]}}