{"F": {"ts_code": "HK.00581", "name": "中国东方集团", "mkt": "HK", "ccy": "港元", "sw1": "钢铁", "sw2": "钢铁", "sw3": "", "ind": "钢铁", "fin_source": "futu", "market": "主板", "list_date": "20040302", "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": true, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": true, "growth": false}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 1.1, "pe_ttm": 13.58, "pb": 0.159, "dv_ttm": 6.36, "total_mv": 409482.59, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["最近年报"], "multi_year": false, "period": "最近年报", "gm_series": [6.2], "rev_series": [449.4], "np_series": [3.3], "roe_series": [1.0], "rev_ttm": 449.4, "np_ttm": 3.1, "ocf_ttm": 6.5, "fcf_ttm": null, "fcf_yield": null, "ocf_yield": 15.9, "gm_median": 6.2, "gm_std": null, "gm_stab": null, "gm_chg_2022": null, "npm_median": 0.7, "roe_median": 1.0, "commodity": true, "hard_ratio": 29.3, "fix_assets": 162.3, "goodwill_ratio": null, "pb_calc": null, "capex_dep": null, "interest_debt": null, "debt_ebitda": null, "ebitda": 11.4, "debt_ratio": 50.5, "debt_mv": null, "payout": 86.0, "div_years": 1, "rev_cagr3": null, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": -1.6, "np_yoy": 36.1, "np_vol": null, "loss_years": 0, "far_share": 63.0, "earn_yield": 7.4, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [], "ret_prev_year": null, "ret_prev2_year": null, "ret_pivot": null, "prev_year": "", "prev2_year": "", "ret_ytd": -11.3, "ret_20": -3.9, "ret_60": -0.9, "ret_120": -23.1, "ret_250": -30.8, "mdd_250": null, "vol_250": null, "pos_52w": 70.5, "eps": 0.067}, "S": {"duration": 29, "pricing": 70, "hard": 47, "bondness": 73}, "label": "成长兑现", "tags": ["现金流红利", "商品定价", "股息率≥4%"], "text": {"像什么": ["盈利在追估值:最新净利润同比 36%,PE TTM 13.6 倍,历史 PEG(PE ÷ 最新增速)0.38。", "经营现金流 6.5 亿(正),没有一致预期数据,风险在增速能否延续。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占定价权一条(毛利率 6.2%),硬资产占比 29%。分子能跟上通胀,但没有重置成本对冲;按'定价权·品牌'看,不按硬资产看。", "加息期怎么走": "估值不靠远期故事,加息期比纯久期抗跌;风险在订单与增速,盯业绩不盯利率。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "经营现金流/市值 15.9%(futu 无资本开支,FCF 按经营现金流 × 0.7 近似)。覆盖高。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率最新年报 6.2%。不能。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产占总资产 29%。有一些。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 13.6 倍 粗算,约 63%(1 − 5/PE)。中等。"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -31%,现价在 52 周高点的 70%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 -4% / -1% / -23%。", "行业对照": ["同富途行业「钢铁」23 家中位:PE 6.4 / 股息率 0.0% / 毛利率 6.2% / 固定资产占比 21% / 分红率 13%。", "中国东方集团:PE 比行业中位高 7.2倍;股息率 比行业中位高 6.4个百分点;毛利率 与行业中位持平;固定资产占比 比行业中位高 8.1个百分点。"]}}