{"F": {"ts_code": "688229.SH", "name": "博睿数据", "mkt": "CN", "ccy": "元", "sw1": "计算机", "sw2": "IT服务Ⅱ", "sw3": "IT服务Ⅲ", "ind": "IT服务Ⅱ", "fin_source": "tushare", "market": "科创板", "list_date": "20200817", "is_fin": false, "roles": {"fin": false, "commodity": false, "precious": false, "regulated": false, "hard": false, "growth": true}, "province": null, "main_business": "", "introduction": "", "close": 65.96, "pe_ttm": null, "pb": 8.5736, "dv_ttm": null, "total_mv": 292862.4, "trade_date": "20260904", "years": ["20201231", "20211231", "20221231", "20231231", "20241231", "20251231"], "multi_year": true, "gm_series": [77.8, 67.5, 67.3, 64.7, 68.7, 68.6], "rev_series": [1.4, 1.3, 1.2, 1.2, 1.4, 1.3], "np_series": [0.3, -0.7, -0.8, -1.1, -1.2, -1.0], "roe_series": [6.0, -9.0, -11.4, -17.6, -23.7, -24.7], "period": "20260630", "rev_ttm": 1.1, "np_ttm": -1.1, "ocf_ttm": -0.6, "fcf_ttm": -0.6, "fcf_yield": -2.2, "ocf_yield": -2.1, "gm_median": 67.5, "gm_std": 1.4, "gm_stab": 0.98, "gm_chg_2022": -10.5, "npm_median": -76.5, "roe_median": -17.6, "commodity": false, "hard_ratio": 0.4, "fix_assets": 0.0, "goodwill_ratio": 0.0, "pb_calc": 8.57, "capex_dep": 6.19, "interest_debt": 0.0, "debt_ebitda": null, "debt_ratio": 13.3, "debt_mv": 0.1, "payout": null, "div_years": 0, "rev_cagr3": 2.9, "np_cagr3": null, "rev_yoy": -18.4, "np_yoy": -36.0, "np_vol": 131.1, "loss_years": 5, "far_share": 100, "earn_yield": null, "consensus_n": 0, "fwd_pe": null, "fwd_pe2": null, "fwd_g1": null, "fwd_g2": null, "peg": null, "consensus_disp": null, "mainbz": [["产品", 50.0], ["主营业务", 50.0]], "ret_prev_year": 49.9, "ret_prev2_year": -13.0, "ret_ytd": 5.2, "ret_pivot": 95.7, "prev_year": "2025", "prev2_year": "2024", "ret_20": -4.2, "ret_60": -19.6, "ret_120": -33.9, "ret_250": -5.8, "mdd_250": -51.0, "vol_250": 78.8, "pos_52w": 54.9}, "S": {"duration": 100, "pricing": 72, "hard": 1, "bondness": 20}, "label": "亏损或困境", "tags": ["近5年≥2年亏损", "资本开支扩张期"], "text": {"像什么": ["TTM 归母净利 -1.1 亿,近 5 年亏损 5 年;PE 为负,估值指标失真。", "资产负债率 13%,有息负债 0 亿,经营现金流/市值 -2.1%:先看现金流能否覆盖利息,再谈久期。"], "为什么(不)算钱的替代品": "只占定价权一条(毛利率 67.5%),硬资产占比 0%。分子能跟上通胀,但没有重置成本对冲;按'定价权·品牌'看,不按硬资产看。", "加息期怎么走": "利率上行对高杠杆亏损企业是再融资压力,不是估值问题;周期底部的反转看行业价格,不看贴现率。", "四问": [["当前 FCF 能覆盖多少市值?", "自由现金流/市值 -2.2%(经营现金流/市值 -2.1%)。极低或为负。"], ["能否每年提价而不掉量?", "毛利率近 5 年中位 67.5%,稳定度 98%,2020→2022 成本通胀期毛利率变化 -10.5 个百分点。取决于竞争。"], ["资产重置成本随通胀涨吗?", "固定资产 + 在建占总资产 0%,资本开支/折旧 6.19 倍。没有资产可言。"], ["估值里多少来自 5 年后的故事?", "按 PE 为负 粗算,约 100%(1 − 5/PE)。>70%,把 5 年后的假设砍一半,这个股票值多少钱?"]], "价格行为": "近一年 -6%,最大回撤 -51%,年化波动 79%,现价在 52 周高点的 55%;近 20 / 60 / 120 日 -4% / -20% / -34%。", "行业对照": ["同申万二级「IT服务Ⅱ」134 家中位:PE 84.0 / 股息率 0.4% / 毛利率 28.1% / 固定资产占比 9% / 分红率 35%。", "博睿数据:PE ;股息率 ;毛利率 比行业中位高 39.4个百分点;固定资产占比 比行业中位低 8.2个百分点。"]}}